xaitpe

Overview

Cumulative cost surprise (§12)
Days since start
window 2026-05-26 → ~2026-06-26
Latest run
Aggregate NAV (3 accounts)

Normalised equity comparison

indexed to 100 at start
no completed runs yet

Daily P&L (last 30 days)

grouped by account
no completed runs yet

Primary — §12 validation

NAV
Daily P&L
MTD P&L
Max DD
Cumulative cost surprise
observed − modelled

Equity (absolute NAV)

Drawdown (%)

Per-instrument fidelity

modelled vs observed, latest run
slug instrument filled units modelled cost observed slippage Δ (obs − mod)
no fidelity data yet

Current positions

latest completed run
slug target weight target units actual units mid unrealised P&L
no positions data yet

Recent trades

last 20
placed instrument side qty fill cost (R) status
no trades yet

Zoo — combined portfolio

NAV (combined)
Daily P&L
MTD P&L
Max DD

Equity (combined NAV)

Constituent virtual NAVs

cumulative virtual P&L, seeded at 0

Account positions

slug target weight target units actual units mid
no positions data yet

Today's virtual intents

per constituent
constituent slug weight units
no virtual intents yet

LLM — Claude picks

NAV
Daily P&L
MTD P&L
Max DD

Equity

Today's picks

slug weight side units
no picks yet

API health

Anthropic Claude
Last successful call
Last failure
7-day success / fail

Recent picks history

last 14 completed runs
run status picks (signed %)
no history yet

About

This dashboard is a read-only view of the xaitpe forward-validation experiment. It tracks one pre-committed test (Primary, §12) and two side experiments (Zoo, LLM), each running daily on its own OANDA practice sub-account — no real money.

Window

2026-05-26 → ~2026-06-26. One month. The cron fires nightly at 14:30 UTC.

Primary (§12 validation)

The finalised TrendXSBlend strategy on the OANDA-tradeable universe. The point of the run is cost & execution fidelity, not P&L: does live execution match what the backtest assumed?

Zoo (sidecar)

A combined portfolio of four control strategies — BuyAndHold, TharpRandom, InverseBlend, ShortTermMomentum. The account holds the sum of all four; per-constituent virtual P&L is tracked alongside the real book.

LLM (sidecar)

Each day, Anthropic Claude is given a universe summary and asked for target weights, subject to hard constraints. Picks trade live, with a fallback to the previous day's targets on parse / API failure.

Honest framing

One month of a daily strategy's P&L is noise. Sharpe, win rate, alpha — none of these are computed or displayed here, because the window is too short for any of them to mean anything. What this dashboard does show: NAV, daily / MTD P&L, max drawdown, modelled-vs-observed cost fidelity, positions, trades. Paper, not a profit play.